| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.4% | 72% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.1% | 65.9% |
| logistic | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Daniil Ostapenkov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | James Duckworth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |