| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 79% | -14.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.7% | 96% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.5% | 94% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 64% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 66.0% | 19.4% | 14.6% |
| xgboost | 75.7% | 16.0% | 8.4% |
| logistic | 71.6% | 19.2% | 9.2% |
| Atlético Madrid | La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1781 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1781 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.44 | 1.22 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.11 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Gimnastic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Espanol | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Espanol | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Gimnastica Segoviana CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Levante | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Sociedad | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Betis | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Sevilla | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Getafe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Apr 2018 | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 0 | La Coruna |
| 04 Nov 2017 | La Coruna | 0 - 1 | Atlético Madrid |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 24 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 6.25 | 16.0% | 24 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 24 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 24 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 24 Oct 20:00 |