| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.8% | 79% | -7.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.6% | 24.3% |
| logistic | 74.3% | 25.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Etienne Donnet | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1593 | 1404 |
| Surface Elo | 1593 | 1404 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Patrick Brady | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Pavlos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Filip Krolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Alexis Gautier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Feb | H | James Trotter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jan | H | Dan Added | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |