| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.8% | 49% | +0.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.9% | 80% | -3.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.4% | 64% | +0.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 76% | -10.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.4% | 21.3% | 27.3% |
| xgboost | 43.3% | 28.1% | 28.6% |
| logistic | 49.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% |
| PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1816 | 1750 |
| Surface Elo | 1816 | 1750 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.11 | 2.56 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Porto | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | FC Dordrecht | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Den Haag | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Den Haag | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Vitesse | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Betis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Telstar | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Telstar | 4 - 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Como | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Feb 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 0 | Feyenoord |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 2 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 11 May 2025 | Feyenoord | 2 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 22 Dec 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 0 | Feyenoord |
| 03 Mar 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 - 2 | Feyenoord |
| 03 Dec 2023 | Feyenoord | 1 - 2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Feyenoord | 2 - 2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 18 Sep 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 4 - 3 | Feyenoord |
| 08 May 2022 | Feyenoord | 2 - 2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 19 Sep 2021 | PSV Eindhoven | 0 - 4 | Feyenoord |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 25 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 25 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 25 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.30 | 76.9% | 25 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Oct 13:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.18 | 31.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.26 | 23.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.08 | 48.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |