| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.4% | 79% | -20.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.3% | 92% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 78.8% | 91% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 83% | -14.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 64.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.6% | 21.0% | 19.3% |
| xgboost | 67.1% | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| logistic | 62.5% | 22.9% | 14.6% |
| Real Madrid | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1854 | 1702 |
| Surface Elo | 1854 | 1702 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Sevilla | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sevilla | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Antequera CF | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | RSD Alcala SAD | 0 - 0 | D |
| 14 Oct | A | Roma | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Bayern München | 1 - 6 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Bayern München | 1 - 6 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.71 | 9.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 8.00 | 12.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.20 | 83.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.90 | 20.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |