OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-30
🎾 ATP Challenger Curitiba, Brazil Men Singles · Wednesday 30 September 2026, 14:10 UTC · finished
Bruno Fernandez 0.60 0 - 2 1.80 Lautaro Midon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 77.5%93%-15.1%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov25.7%74.3%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost26.1%73.9%
logistic22.3%77.7%
Inputs the models saw
Bruno FernandezLautaro Midon
Elo (pre-match)13761677
Surface Elo13761677
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend-0.30-0.30
Season points per game1.003.00
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game1.670.00
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Bruno Fernandez: last 5
28 SepHVictor Hugo Remondy Pagotto1 - 2L
28 SepHLautaro Midon0 - 2L
28 SepHWilson Leite2 - 1W
27 SepHFederico Zeballos2 - 1W
21 SepHTomas Farjat0 - 2L
Lautaro Midon: last 5
29 SepAMatias Soto2 - 0W
28 SepAGustavo Heide0 - 2L
28 SepABruno Fernandez2 - 0W
28 SepHMatias Soto2 - 0W
17 AugAClement Chidekh0 - 2L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Bruno Fernandez0 - 2Lautaro Midon
30 Mar 2026Bruno Fernandez1 - 2Lautaro Midon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.0892.6%30 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home7.0014.3%30 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC