| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.7% | 76% | +2.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.1% | 27.8% |
| logistic | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Laura Samson | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.85 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.31 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Carolina Alves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Carole Monnet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Yuliana Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Alice Tubello | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Geerlings Martinez, Ariana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | Esquivel Usech, Antonella | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Marina Bassols Ribera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Valeriya Strakhova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Sofya Lansere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Kristina Mladenovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |