| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 61% | +6.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 14.1% | 85.9% |
| logistic | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Karen Khachanov | Felix Auger Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1878 | 1984 |
| Surface Elo | 1878 | 1984 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 18 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 3 | L |
| 09 Sep | A | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Learner Tien | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | H | Karen Khachanov | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Rinky Hijikata | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Aug | H | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 1 - 3 | Karen Khachanov |
| 16 Jun 2025 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 1 - 2 | Karen Khachanov |
| 06 Jun 2022 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 2 - 0 | Karen Khachanov |
| 16 Aug 2021 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 2 - 1 | Karen Khachanov |
| 05 Aug 2019 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 1 - 2 | Karen Khachanov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |