| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.8% | 88% | -19.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.8% | 18.1% |
| logistic | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Pedro Sakamoto | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1476 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1476 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Julian Cundom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Ian Vertberger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Hernan Casanova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Mar | A | Gonzalo Villanueva | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |