OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ France Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Nice 1.00 2 - 1 1.40 Strasbourg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.6%42%+2.9%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.9%75%+0.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.1%57%-1.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.0%60%-1.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson36.5%25.9%37.6%
xgboost39.4%24.3%36.3%
logistic34.8%28.7%36.5%
Inputs the models saw
NiceStrasbourg
Elo (pre-match)15901714
Surface Elo15901714
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.40
Form trend-0.400.20
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2021
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Nice: last 5
20 SepHLille2 - 1W
12 SepAAuxerre0 - 1L
05 SepHLe Mans1 - 1D
30 AugAParis FC0 - 3L
22 AugHLorient0 - 0D
Strasbourg: last 5
19 SepAParis FC1 - 2L
12 SepHMonaco1 - 1D
06 SepATroyes6 - 2W
29 AugHLens2 - 1W
21 AugAMarseille0 - 4L
Head to head
04 Apr 2026Strasbourg3 - 1Nice
03 Jan 2026Nice1 - 1Strasbourg
12 Apr 2025Strasbourg2 - 2Nice
24 Nov 2024Nice2 - 1Strasbourg
28 Apr 2024Strasbourg1 - 3Nice
03 Sep 2023Nice2 - 0Strasbourg
13 May 2023Strasbourg2 - 0Nice
14 Aug 2022Nice1 - 1Strasbourg
26 Feb 2022Strasbourg0 - 0Nice
05 Dec 2021Nice0 - 3Strasbourg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.9633.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6327.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6859.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC