| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.8% | 52% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.3% | 50.6% |
| logistic | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Miguel Damas | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Johan Nikles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Miguel Damas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Miguel Damas | 1 - 2 | Samuele Pieri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |