| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 43% | +8.8% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.2% | 72% | +3.3% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.1% | 59% | +8.1% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 53% | +16.1% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.3% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.7% | 25.3% | 28.0% |
| xgboost | 44.0% | 27.1% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 47.0% | 28.9% | 24.1% |
| Notts County | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1493 | 1505 |
| Surface Elo | 1493 | 1505 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Grimsby | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Reading | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Reading | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Bradford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Huddersfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Wigan | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Bromley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Reading | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.87 | 53.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |