| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.6% | 36% | +16.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.2% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Matthew Dellavedova | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1490 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1490 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Mert Alkaya | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Andre Ilagan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Andre Ilagan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Hunter Heck | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Colin Sinclair | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Makoto Ochi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Scott Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Arjun Mehrotra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Harrison Satara | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |