OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Forfar 0.60 1 - 1 1.60 Edinburgh City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.1%47%-2.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.8%81%-5.4%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 57.5%63%-5.9%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.5%59%-1.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 59.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.1%27.1%28.8%
xgboost22.8%21.2%56.1%
logistic30.4%27.2%42.4%
Inputs the models saw
ForfarEdinburgh City
Elo (pre-match)13391359
Surface Elo13391359
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.60
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game0.921.58
Season goals for / game1.081.83
Season goals against / game2.001.58
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W5 W · 4 D
Forfar: last 5
31 OctAStirling2 - 5L
31 OctAStirling2 - 5L
17 OctAKelty Hearts1 - 2L
17 OctAKelty Hearts1 - 2L
13 OctARoss County1 - 2L
Edinburgh City: last 5
03 NovHPartick0 - 3L
31 OctHDumbarton2 - 1W
31 OctHDumbarton2 - 1W
24 OctHKelty Hearts4 - 1W
17 OctAElgin0 - 0D
Head to head
28 Aug 2026Edinburgh City1 - 1Forfar
25 Apr 2026Forfar4 - 0Edinburgh City
28 Feb 2026Edinburgh City0 - 0Forfar
20 Dec 2025Forfar2 - 3Edinburgh City
27 Sep 2025Edinburgh City1 - 1Forfar
26 Apr 2025Edinburgh City0 - 0Forfar
08 Feb 2025Forfar0 - 1Edinburgh City
02 Nov 2024Edinburgh City2 - 0Forfar
24 Aug 2024Forfar0 - 3Edinburgh City
09 Apr 2022Edinburgh City2 - 0Forfar
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4041.7%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.1032.3%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.6338.0%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0349.3%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7856.2%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.3043.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8035.7%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7058.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC