| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 52% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.9% | 83% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.7% | 74% | -1.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 64% | -17.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.7% | 29.5% | 25.8% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 31.1% | 19.1% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 26.7% | 16.5% |
| Tenerife | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1330 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1330 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 25 Sep | H | UD Anaza | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Ciudad de Lucena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Castellon | 0 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Castellon | 0 - 5 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Leganes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Girona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Girona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Almeria | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Valladolid | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Tenerife | 2 - 1 | Cadiz |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Cadiz | 2 - 2 | Tenerife |
| 27 Jun 2020 | Cadiz | 0 - 2 | Tenerife |
| 17 Nov 2019 | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | Cadiz |
| 16 Feb 2019 | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | Tenerife |
| 29 Sep 2018 | Tenerife | 1 - 0 | Cadiz |
| 27 May 2018 | Cadiz | 1 - 1 | Tenerife |
| 21 Dec 2017 | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | Cadiz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.57 | 63.7% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |