| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 60% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.6% | 63.3% |
| logistic | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Maximo Zeitune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 20 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Nicolas Mejia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |