| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.4% | 62% | -9.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.6% | 53.3% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Trevor Svajda | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Tyler Zink | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Federico Agustin Gomez | 2 - 0 | Trevor Svajda |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 23 Sep 06:15 |