| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.7% | 48% | +10.1% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 80.5% | 83% | -2.2% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.1% | 62% | +9.7% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 72% | -23.1% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 47.5% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.8% | 22.6% | 35.5% |
| xgboost | 43.0% | 32.1% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 24.0% | 19.6% |
| Bayern München | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1927 | 1929 |
| Surface Elo | 1927 | 1929 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | H | Union Berlin | 7 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Elversberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Stuttgart | 5 - 1 | W |
| 16 May | H | FC Koln | 5 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Sunderland | 5 - 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Manchester United | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Coventry | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Crystal Palace | 4 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Bournemouth | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.39 | 71.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.85 | 35.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |