| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.8% | 87% | -12.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 79.8% | 20.2% |
| logistic | 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Facundo Mena | Renzo Olivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1621 | 1412 |
| Surface Elo | 1621 | 1412 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 134 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Renzo Olivo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Jan | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Jun | A | Maximus Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Renzo Olivo |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | Renzo Olivo |
| 14 Mar 2022 | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | Renzo Olivo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.70 | 21.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |