| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.7% | 60% | -8.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.3% | 47.5% |
| xgboost | 46.4% | 51.8% |
| logistic | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1432 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1432 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 2.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.67 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 1 - 5 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 7 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 1 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 06 Feb 2026 | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 1 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 3 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 5 | Ottawa Senators |
| 15 Nov 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 5 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.37 | 42.2% | 17 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 17 Oct 18:20 |