| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.0% | 43% | +13.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.3% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Sloane Stephens | Janice Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1537 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1537 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Janice Tjen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Carole Monnet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Marta Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Clara Tauson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Darja Vidmanova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Janice Tjen | 0 - 2 | Sloane Stephens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |