OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-12
🎾 ATP Stockholm, Sweden Men Singles · Thursday 12 November 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Alex Michelsen 1.80 0 - 2 0.60 Alejandro Tabilo
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 82.1%81%+1.5%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov59.4%40.6%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost83.6%16.3%
logistic84.7%15.3%
Inputs the models saw
Alex MichelsenAlejandro Tabilo
Elo (pre-match)19421786
Surface Elo19421786
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.60
Form trend-0.30-0.60
Season points per game1.640.86
Season goals for / game1.180.86
Season goals against / game1.091.57
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Alex Michelsen: last 5
10 NovHJuan Manuel Cerundolo2 - 0W
09 NovHYannick Hanfmann2 - 0W
04 NovHCarlos Alcaraz0 - 2L
04 NovHCarlos Alcaraz0 - 2L
03 NovHJiri Lehecka2 - 1W
Alejandro Tabilo: last 5
11 NovALorenzo Sonego2 - 1W
02 NovHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
02 NovHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
27 OctHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
27 OctHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
Head to head
24 Mar 2026Alejandro Tabilo1 - 2Alex Michelsen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.2523.5%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2480.7%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC