| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.0% | 38% | +5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 78% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.5% | 52% | +7.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 47% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.2% | 27.0% | 39.8% |
| xgboost | 28.0% | 28.3% | 43.7% |
| logistic | 27.5% | 29.1% | 43.4% |
| Osnabruck | Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1362 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1362 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.70 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Wolfsburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Wolfsburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Hannover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Nurnberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | 1 FC Nuremberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 2 | Osnabruck |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Osnabruck | 2 - 2 | Kaiserslautern |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 07 Nov 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 07 Nov 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Nov 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 07 Nov 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 12:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |