| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.8% | 48% | +6.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.1% | 75% | +4.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.5% | 65% | +5.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 58% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.1% | 26.3% | 22.6% |
| xgboost | 50.4% | 29.3% | 20.4% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 25.2% | 19.4% |
| Brest | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1601 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1601 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Le Havre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Toulouse | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Le Mans | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Troyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Le Havre | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Rennes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Auxerre | 3 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Lille | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Brest | 1 - 1 | Angers |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Angers | 0 - 2 | Brest |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Brest | 2 - 0 | Angers |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Angers | 2 - 0 | Brest |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Brest | 4 - 0 | Angers |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Angers | 1 - 3 | Brest |
| 20 Mar 2022 | Angers | 1 - 0 | Brest |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Brest | 1 - 1 | Angers |
| 21 Mar 2021 | Brest | 0 - 0 | Angers |
| 27 Sep 2020 | Angers | 3 - 2 | Brest |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.65 | 27.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.09 | 47.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |