| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.0% | 78% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.9% | 72.9% |
| logistic | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| Miguel Tobon | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1507 | 1686 |
| Surface Elo | 1507 | 1686 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Nov | H | Leonardo Storck Franca | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Enrique Bogo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Daniel Salazar Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |