| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.5% | 49% | +2.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.5% | 77% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.3% | 67% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 55% | -0.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 27.7% | 34.8% |
| xgboost | 54.2% | 25.3% | 20.5% |
| logistic | 57.6% | 25.2% | 17.2% |
| Bristol City | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1524 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1524 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Blackburn | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Blackburn | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Exeter City Reserve | 3 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Charlton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Charlton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 Oct | A | Portsmouth | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Portsmouth | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Lincoln | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Lincoln | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Brighton & Hove Albion U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Bristol City | 1 - 0 | Sheffield Utd |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 4 | Bristol City |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 1 | Bristol City |
| 05 Nov 2024 | Bristol City | 1 - 2 | Sheffield Utd |
| 18 Apr 2023 | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 0 | Bristol City |
| 01 Nov 2022 | Bristol City | 0 - 1 | Sheffield Utd |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Bristol City | 1 - 1 | Sheffield Utd |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 0 | Bristol City |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 3 | Bristol City |
| 15 Sep 2018 | Bristol City | 1 - 0 | Sheffield Utd |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.03 | 49.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.77 | 26.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.66 | 27.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.04 | 49.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |