| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.6% | 60% | -5.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 78.3% | 86% | -7.7% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.9% | 79% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 55% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.1% | 27.1% | 42.8% |
| xgboost | 17.3% | 18.2% | 64.5% |
| logistic | 19.3% | 24.7% | 56.0% |
| Cove Rangers | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1409 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1409 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 2.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Formartine United | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Airdrieonians FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Airdrie Utd | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Peterhead | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Peterhead | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Raith Rovers FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Montrose | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Montrose | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hamilton | 1 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Cove Rangers | 2 - 2 | Hamilton |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Hamilton | 2 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Cove Rangers | 2 - 1 | Hamilton |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Hamilton | 0 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Cove Rangers | 1 - 3 | Hamilton |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Hamilton | 2 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Cove Rangers | 1 - 0 | Hamilton |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Hamilton | 1 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 08 Apr 2023 | Hamilton | 1 - 1 | Cove Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |