| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 51% | -1.1% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 80% | -4.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 69% | -3.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 59% | -1.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.7% | 24.9% | 30.4% |
| xgboost | 51.0% | 23.8% | 25.1% |
| logistic | 50.8% | 26.3% | 22.9% |
| Sutton | Solihull | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1418 | 1362 |
| Surface Elo | 1418 | 1362 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.43 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 6 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Guiseley | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Southampton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Worthing | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Worthing | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Aldershot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Wealdstone | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Wealdstone | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Carlisle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Solihull | 4 - 1 | Sutton |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Sutton | 0 - 0 | Solihull |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Solihull | 1 - 1 | Sutton |
| 26 Nov 2024 | Sutton | 1 - 0 | Solihull |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Solihull | 0 - 0 | Sutton |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Sutton | 4 - 1 | Solihull |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Sutton | 0 - 0 | Solihull |
| 08 Oct 2019 | Solihull | 2 - 0 | Sutton |
| 08 Dec 2018 | Sutton | 2 - 2 | Solihull |
| 18 Aug 2018 | Solihull | 2 - 2 | Sutton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |