| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.2% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.3% | no line | void | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.0% | 24.3% | 32.7% |
| xgboost | 39.9% | 28.0% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 41.9% | 28.1% | 30.0% |
| Santander | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Celta | 0 - 5 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Barcelona | 2 - 7 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Alaves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Vallecano | 2 - 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Elche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Elche | 1 - 4 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | SCR Pena Deportiva | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Sociedad | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Castellon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Alaves | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||