| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.1% | 57% | -11.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 79.0% | 81% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.0% | 75% | -20.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 58% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.3% | 26.5% | 30.2% |
| xgboost | 33.0% | 18.1% | 48.9% |
| logistic | 32.7% | 22.1% | 45.2% |
| Pendikspor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1464 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1464 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 881 | 160 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Bursaspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Van Spor FK | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Sivasspor | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Bodrum FK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 May | H | Gaziantep | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Batman Petrolspor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Oct | A | Antalyaspor | 4 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Manisa Futbol Kulubu | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Mardin 1969 Spor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Konyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Pendikspor | 1 - 2 | Kayserispor |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Kayserispor | 2 - 0 | Pendikspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.80 | 55.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |