| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.6% | 63% | -8.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 78.2% | 85% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.5% | 80% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 69% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.9% | 22.7% | 21.4% |
| xgboost | 45.5% | 21.0% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 23.0% | 15.6% |
| Clyde | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1338 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1338 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Elgin | 2 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Elgin | 2 - 6 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Cowdenbeath | 3 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Rangers | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stirling | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Banks O´Dee FC | 3 - 2 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Spartans | 3 - 0 | W |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Dumbarton | 1 - 0 | Clyde |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Clyde | 2 - 0 | Dumbarton |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Dumbarton | 0 - 0 | Clyde |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Clyde | 3 - 1 | Dumbarton |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Dumbarton | 2 - 1 | Clyde |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Dumbarton | 1 - 0 | Clyde |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Clyde | 2 - 0 | Dumbarton |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Dumbarton | 4 - 4 | Clyde |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Clyde | 0 - 4 | Dumbarton |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Dumbarton | 2 - 1 | Clyde |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |