| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 75.6% | 74% | +1.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 22.9% | 77.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 26.2% | 73.8% |
| logistic | 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Janice Tjen | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1790 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1790 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 33 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Janice Tjen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Taylor Townsend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Karolina Pliskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 0 | Janice Tjen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |