| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.8% | 78% | -11.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| logistic | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alejandro Tabilo | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1792 | 2071 |
| Surface Elo | 1792 | 2071 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 17 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Tommy Paul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Casper Ruud | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | 0 - 2 | Rafael Jodar |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | 1 - 2 | Rafael Jodar |
| 06 Mar 2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 0 | Rafael Jodar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.77 | 26.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.29 | 77.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.30 | 76.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.30 | 76.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.55 | 28.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.27 | 78.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.80 | 26.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.85 | 26.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Rafael Jodar | 1.36 | 73.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.31 | 76.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.28 | 78.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.65 | 27.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.29 | 77.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.95 | 25.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.25 | 80.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.72 | 26.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.27 | 78.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.80 | 26.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.85 | 26.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Rafael Jodar | 1.36 | 73.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.28 | 78.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.79 | 26.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.31 | 76.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.65 | 27.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.25 | 80.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.45 | 29.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.25 | 80.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.95 | 25.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.25 | 80.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.95 | 25.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.25 | 80.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.30 | 76.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.85 | 26.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.29 | 77.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.55 | 28.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.26 | 79.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |