OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Greek Super League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Aris 1.40 3 - 2 0.40 Volos NFC
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.2%68%-9.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.9%94%-8.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 80.4%90%-9.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.5%53%+1.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson57.8%27.1%15.1%
xgboost60.8%21.8%17.4%
logistic73.4%18.4%8.1%
Inputs the models saw
ArisVolos NFC
Elo (pre-match)16231409
Surface Elo16231409
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.40
Form trend0.700.10
Season points per game1.400.40
Season goals for / game1.000.80
Season goals against / game2.001.80
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Aris: last 5
19 SepHIraklis0 - 0D
19 SepHIraklis0 - 0D
13 SepAPAOK0 - 2L
05 SepAAEK0 - 5L
30 AugHOFI Crete2 - 1W
Volos NFC: last 5
20 SepHAEK1 - 2L
13 SepAKalamata1 - 3L
05 SepHOlympiakos1 - 1D
29 AugHIraklis1 - 1D
23 AugAOFI Crete0 - 2L
Head to head
13 May 2026Volos NFC1 - 2Aris
18 Apr 2026Aris3 - 2Volos NFC
14 Feb 2026Volos NFC1 - 1Aris
23 Aug 2025Aris2 - 0Volos NFC
01 Mar 2025Volos NFC1 - 1Aris
23 Nov 2024Aris0 - 1Volos NFC
25 Feb 2024Aris2 - 0Volos NFC
11 Nov 2023Volos NFC0 - 2Aris
03 May 2023Aris4 - 2Volos NFC
23 Apr 2023Volos NFC0 - 3Aris
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away7.0014.3%11 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2draw4.2023.8%11 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2home1.4170.9%11 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%11 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%11 Oct 17:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC