| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.1% | 69% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 83.6% | 91% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 78.6% | 87% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 49% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.1% | 24.9% | 16.0% |
| xgboost | 61.5% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| logistic | 65.8% | 22.0% | 12.1% |
| Villarreal | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1676 | 1600 |
| Surface Elo | 1676 | 1600 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 0.73 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 30 Oct | H | Espanol | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Valencia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Elche | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Real Madrid | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Levante | 3 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | UD San Sebastian Reyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Brighton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Sevilla | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Sevilla | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Real Valladolid Promesas | 3 - 4 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Getafe | 2 - 1 | Villarreal |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Villarreal | 2 - 0 | Getafe |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Getafe | 1 - 2 | Villarreal |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Villarreal |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | Getafe |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Villarreal |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Getafe | 1 - 2 | Villarreal |
| 07 Nov 2021 | Villarreal | 1 - 0 | Getafe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.21 | 13.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.79 | 55.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |