| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.6% | 63% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.0% | 86% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.4% | 81% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 58% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.7% | 24.7% | 20.5% |
| xgboost | 57.2% | 29.3% | 13.5% |
| logistic | 65.7% | 20.6% | 13.6% |
| Betis | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1757 | 1563 |
| Surface Elo | 1757 | 1563 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 11 Oct | H | CD Egabrense | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Getafe | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | CE Manresa | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | CF Calamocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Girona | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | CD Ebro | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Vallecano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | Betis |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Betis | 2 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 11 May 2025 | Betis | 1 - 1 | Osasuna |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | Betis |
| 05 May 2024 | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | Betis |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Betis | 2 - 1 | Osasuna |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Osasuna | 3 - 2 | Betis |
| 26 Aug 2022 | Betis | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 03 Apr 2022 | Betis | 4 - 1 | Osasuna |
| 23 Sep 2021 | Osasuna | 1 - 3 | Betis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.87 | 17.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.37 | 22.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |