| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.3% | 58% | +1.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alex De Minaur | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1981 | 1986 |
| Surface Elo | 1981 | 1986 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 0 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 03 Mar 2025 | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 06 May 2019 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 23 Jul 2018 | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.67 | 59.9% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.28 | 43.9% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.10 | 47.6% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.70 | 58.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.11 | 47.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.72 | 58.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.36 | 42.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alex de Minaur | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.38 | 42.0% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.72 | 58.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.18 | 45.9% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.70 | 58.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.11 | 47.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.68 | 59.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.20 | 45.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.68 | 59.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.14 | 46.7% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.68 | 59.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.17 | 46.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.64 | 61.0% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.24 | 44.6% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.72 | 58.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.36 | 42.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alex de Minaur | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.38 | 42.0% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.70 | 58.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.11 | 47.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.72 | 58.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.25 | 44.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.63 | 61.4% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.07 | 48.3% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.62 | 61.7% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.15 | 46.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.58 | 63.3% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.30 | 43.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.68 | 59.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.17 | 46.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.68 | 59.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.17 | 46.1% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.10 | 47.6% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.74 | 57.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.15 | 46.5% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 1.70 | 58.8% | 05 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.10 | 47.6% | 05 Oct 06:00 |