| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.7% | 48% | +2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 80% | -4.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.0% | 63% | +2.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 68% | -13.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.1% | 25.7% | 31.2% |
| xgboost | 48.4% | 25.2% | 26.4% |
| logistic | 54.2% | 24.8% | 21.0% |
| Heidenheim | Hannover | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1484 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1484 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Karlsruhe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Karlsruher SC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Cottbus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Cottbus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Dresden | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Dresden | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr 2023 | Hannover | 0 - 3 | Heidenheim |
| 09 Oct 2022 | Heidenheim | 2 - 1 | Hannover |
| 04 Feb 2022 | Heidenheim | 3 - 1 | Hannover |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Hannover | 1 - 0 | Heidenheim |
| 11 Apr 2021 | Hannover | 1 - 3 | Heidenheim |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Heidenheim | 1 - 0 | Hannover |
| 07 Jun 2020 | Hannover | 2 - 1 | Heidenheim |
| 10 Nov 2019 | Heidenheim | 4 - 0 | Hannover |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |