| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 58% | -2.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 79.5% | 79% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.3% | 75% | -3.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 66% | -9.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.8% | 22.1% | 22.1% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 19.1% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 57.2% | 24.2% | 18.6% |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1742 | 1622 |
| Surface Elo | 1742 | 1622 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Everton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Everton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Reading | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Bournemouth | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Bournemouth | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Coventry | 3 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Cheltenham | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 May 2026 | Chelsea | 2 - 1 | Tottenham |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 0 - 1 | Chelsea |
| 03 Apr 2025 | Chelsea | 1 - 0 | Tottenham |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Tottenham | 3 - 4 | Chelsea |
| 02 May 2024 | Chelsea | 2 - 0 | Tottenham |
| 06 Nov 2023 | Tottenham | 1 - 4 | Chelsea |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Tottenham | 2 - 0 | Chelsea |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Chelsea | 2 - 2 | Tottenham |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Chelsea | 2 - 0 | Tottenham |
| 19 Sep 2021 | Tottenham | 0 - 3 | Chelsea |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.49 | 22.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.28 | 23.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |