| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.9% | 61% | -19.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.8% | 30.1% |
| xgboost | 40.8% | 57.9% |
| logistic | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Montréal Canadiens | Nashville Predators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1589 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1589 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 May | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 6 | L |
| 28 May | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 5 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Apr | H | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 5 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 3 | L |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Nashville Predators | 1 - 4 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 2 | Nashville Predators |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Nashville Predators | 1 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 0 | Nashville Predators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.3% | 08 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.42 | 41.3% | 08 Oct 19:20 |