| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.0% | 71% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.9% | 69.0% |
| logistic | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Rio Noguchi | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1659 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1659 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kasidit Samrej | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Alexandre Muller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Takuya Kumasaka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Jake Delaney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Elias Ymer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Jake Delaney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Elias Ymer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Jun 2025 | Rio Noguchi | 0 - 2 | Yi Zhou |
| 26 May 2025 | Rio Noguchi | 2 - 0 | Yi Zhou |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |