OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ France Ligue 1 · Saturday 07 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Auxerre 1.40 0 - 1 1.80 Paris FC
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 45.4%55%-9.8%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.2%78%-2.5%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 60.0%73%-12.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64.8%59%+6.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 64.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.7%27.6%33.7%
xgboost25.5%23.9%50.6%
logistic26.1%26.4%47.5%
Inputs the models saw
AuxerreParis FC
Elo (pre-match)16061718
Surface Elo16061718
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.80
Form trend0.500.00
Season points per game1.001.50
Season goals for / game1.502.00
Season goals against / game2.751.75
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Auxerre: last 5
01 NovAStrasbourg1 - 5L
01 NovAStrasbourg1 - 5L
25 OctHLe Mans1 - 1D
25 OctHLe Mans1 - 1D
18 OctALe Havre3 - 1W
Paris FC: last 5
07 NovHLa Roche Vendee Football0 - 1L
01 NovHMonaco3 - 1W
01 NovHMonaco3 - 1W
31 OctAFC Fleury 911 - 1D
24 OctALens1 - 2L
Head to head
08 Feb 2026Auxerre0 - 0Paris FC
29 Nov 2025Paris FC1 - 1Auxerre
04 May 2024Auxerre2 - 0Paris FC
07 Oct 2023Paris FC0 - 2Auxerre
01 Feb 2022Auxerre1 - 2Paris FC
16 Aug 2021Paris FC1 - 1Auxerre
13 Mar 2021Auxerre0 - 0Paris FC
21 Nov 2020Paris FC0 - 3Auxerre
22 Nov 2019Paris FC2 - 0Auxerre
29 Mar 2019Paris FC3 - 0Auxerre
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8254.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0724.6%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.4622.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7058.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC