| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.2% | 78% | -18.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| logistic | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1393 | 1322 |
| Surface Elo | 1393 | 1322 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 23 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Bastian Malla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Gabriel Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Scheidt, Augusto | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Julian Cundom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Lucio Ratti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Mateus Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 22 Oct 06:15 |