| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.1% | 38% | +3.7% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.2% | 78% | -5.3% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.9% | 53% | +4.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 51% | +0.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.5% | 32.3% | 32.2% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 24.9% | 44.8% |
| logistic | 29.5% | 26.4% | 44.1% |
| Kidderminster | Halifax | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Doncaster | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Solihull | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Solihull | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Altrincham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Altrincham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 07 Nov | A | Cheltenham | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Nottingham Forest | 3 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Yeovil | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Yeovil | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Barrow | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Kidderminster | 0 - 2 | Halifax |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Halifax | 2 - 1 | Kidderminster |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |