| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.8% | 42% | +10.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| logistic | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1621 | 1656 |
| Surface Elo | 1621 | 1656 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Jurij Rodionov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Norbert Gombos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Norbert Gombos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Dusan Lajovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |