| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 58% | -7.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.7% | 82% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.2% | 75% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% | 74% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 64.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.1% | 22.2% | 24.7% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 27.6% | 34.3% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 25.7% | 20.2% |
| Wolfsburg | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Nurnberg | 4 - 4 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | 1 FC Nuremberg | 4 - 4 | D |
| 01 Oct | H | TSV Havelse | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Darmstadt | 5 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | St Pauli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 0 | D |
| 02 Oct | H | Wurzburger Kickers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | Heidenheim |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Heidenheim | 1 - 3 | Wolfsburg |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Wolfsburg | 0 - 1 | Heidenheim |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Heidenheim | 1 - 3 | Wolfsburg |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Heidenheim | 1 - 1 | Wolfsburg |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Wolfsburg | 2 - 0 | Heidenheim |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |