| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.5% | 68% | -16.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.8% | 53.1% |
| logistic | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Andrea Colombo | Makhlouf, Nazim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1536 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1536 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.74 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.21 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.22 | 0.84 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Ntungamili RAGUIN | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Giovanni Oradini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Leonardo Borrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Flynn Thomas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Nov | H | Elamin, A | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Aziz Dougaz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Tuncay Duran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Nicolas John Jadoun | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |