| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.3% | 95% | -29.9% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 90.0% | 100% | -9.8% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 88.5% | 100% | -11.4% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% | 79% | -31.8% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.5% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 64.5% | 20.3% | 15.2% |
| xgboost | 72.4% | 16.0% | 11.6% |
| logistic | 80.0% | 14.9% | 5.1% |
| Manchester United | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1795 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1795 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Fulham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Ossett United | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Everton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Ipswich | 5 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Blackburn | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Norwich | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Apr 2024 | Manchester United | 4 - 2 | Sheffield Utd |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 2 | Manchester United |
| 27 Jan 2021 | Manchester United | 1 - 2 | Sheffield Utd |
| 17 Dec 2020 | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 3 | Manchester United |
| 24 Jun 2020 | Manchester United | 3 - 0 | Sheffield Utd |
| 24 Nov 2019 | Sheffield Utd | 3 - 3 | Manchester United |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 23.00 | 4.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 9.75 | 10.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.26 | 79.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.40 | 29.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |