| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.7% | 77% | -23.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.6% | 70.3% |
| logistic | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Kris Van Wyk | Leo Borg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.91 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Figl, Maximilian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | John Echeverria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Picard, Mathys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Anas Mazdrashki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Luca Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Picard, Mathys | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Rocco Piatti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Freire Da Silva, Adan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | A | Johan Nikles | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |