| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.3% | 71% | -16.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 66.3% |
| logistic | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Fiona Ferro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1482 | 1441 |
| Surface Elo | 1482 | 1441 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Rame, Alice | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Jessica Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Polona Hercog | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Martina Trevisan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Aurora Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |